What Are Raised Alerts?

Defcon Level tracks 14 commands: 11 official U.S. Combatant Commands and 3 monitoring commands (biological threats, natural disasters, and financial stability). Each carries an OSINT-estimated DEFCON readiness level from DEFCON 5 (normal peacetime) to DEFCON 1 (maximum readiness). When a command's estimated level is below DEFCON 5, it is considered "raised." This page shows only alerts from commands currently at raised status.

Alerts are grouped by priority. Breaking alerts cover fast-moving situations that may update within hours. Critical alerts address time-sensitive military or geopolitical developments with potential for escalation. High alerts track significant events affecting regional stability. Each alert is sourced from official statements, government public affairs offices, allied communications, and verified open-source intelligence.

The command grid below shows the current readiness level for every tracked command. The nuclear risk level is assessed separately from individual command readiness and appears below the command grid.

For all alerts including standard-priority updates from commands at normal readiness, visit the main Alerts page. For a breakdown of the indicators behind each command's current readiness estimate, see Raised Levels.

Energy Markets and Global Trade Corridors

CENTCOM's area of responsibility covers the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% of global petroleum liquids transit each year, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. USPACOM's area of responsibility includes the South China Sea, through which an estimated one-third of global seaborne trade passes annually, according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Together, these regions encompass several of the world's most significant maritime energy and trade corridors.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration tracks conditions in both regions as part of its global petroleum supply monitoring, publishing regular assessments of chokepoint risk for energy transit. CISA maintains a public advisory feed at cisa.gov covering active cyber threats to critical infrastructure sectors, including energy, transportation, and financial systems. Current commodity prices, defense sector data, and financial impact analysis are available on the Financial Alerts page.

Current Command Readiness Levels

14 Commands Raised

Current OSINT-estimated DEFCON levels for all 14 tracked commands. Commands below DEFCON 5 are considered raised, reflecting open-source indicators that suggest elevated regional readiness. These are estimates, not official government data. Select any command for details and regional alerts.

Geographic Commands

Functional Commands

Current Nuclear Risk Level (OSINT Estimate)

Increased intelligence watch and strengthened security measures. Above normal readiness.

This is an OSINT estimate. Confirmed nuclear readiness status is classified and not publicly released. Assessment derived from open-source intelligence, official government statements, and publicly available data.

Civilian Readiness During Elevated Conditions

The Federal Emergency Management Agency recommends that households maintain emergency supply kits covering a minimum of 72 hours of water, food, medications, and critical documents, as a baseline measure independent of current threat conditions. Ready.gov provides standardized checklists covering shelter-in-place procedures, evacuation planning, and family communication protocols. Supply chain status and preparedness guidance by threat level are available on the Preparedness page.

Emergency preparedness planning covers both physical supplies and financial readiness, including emergency fund sizing and insurance coverage for extended disruption scenarios. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau provides household financial preparedness guidance at consumerfinance.gov and recommends maintaining liquid reserves covering three to six months of essential expenses. Asset protection strategies and portfolio considerations during periods of geopolitical instability are covered on the Financial Readiness page.

Raised Readiness Alerts

The following alerts are from commands currently operating at elevated readiness (below DEFCON 5). Alerts are grouped by priority: Breaking, Critical, High, and Standard.

30 Active Alerts

14 commands currently at elevated readiness.

Critical Critical Priority

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

CENTCOM Issues Civilian Warning to Iran; U.S. Closes Three Embassies; Allied Evacuations Expand Across Gulf (March 7-8, 2026)

The warning, issued in English and Farsi, urged Iranian civilians to stay at home....

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

Iran Strikes Kuwait Infrastructure Overnight; Oslo Embassy Blast Suspect Detained; Gulf Air Defenses Intercept 130+ Projectiles

An explosion damaged the U.S. Embassy consular entrance in Oslo, Norway, where Norwegian media report a 13-year-old was apprehended...

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

Maritime Security Digest: February 28 to March 7, 2026

The Joint Maritime Information Centre (JMIC) threat level remains CRITICAL. MARAD Advisory 2026-001A...

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

U.S. Strikes Iranian Drone Carrier as Naval Campaign Destroys Over 30 Warships

CENTCOM: "Today, an Iranian drone carrier, roughly the size of a WWII aircraft carrier, was struck and is now on fire."...

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

IDF Says It Struck Nuclear Weapons Compound; IAEA Confirms No Radiological Release as Hormuz Closure Holds

The CTBTO recorded a seismic event south of Bid Shahr, assessed as a natural earthquake and has ruled out nuclear detonation....

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

U.S. Submarine Sinks Iranian Frigate Off Sri Lanka with Single Torpedo; 101 Crew Missing

The attack killed or left missing the majority of the roughly 180 crew members aboard the Moudge-class frigate, which had been transiting international waters returning to Iran...

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

NATO Intercepts Iranian Missile Near Turkey; Commercial Vessel Attacks Escalate in Strait of Hormuz

The missile was launched from Iran and crossed Iraqi and Syrian airspace before interception in the Eastern Mediterranean. ...

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

U.S. Embassy In Beirut, Lebanon Closed Until Further Notice

LEBANON - The U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon will be closed until further notice, according to the Embassy....

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

United Arab Emirates Ministry of Defense: "UAE air defenses intercept 12 ballistic missiles, 123 drones

The UAE Ministry of Defence (MoD) announced that UAE air defence systems intercepted 11 ballistic missiles and 123 drones today, while one missile landed within the country’s territory without causing any human casualties. ...

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

Operation Epic Fury Day Four: DOW Declares Air Superiority Over Iran Has Been Established, Six U.S. Service Members Killed, All 11 Iranian Warships Sunk

Six U.S. service members are now confirmed killed in action. Iran’s entire Gulf of Oman naval presence has been destroyed. ...

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

U.S. F-15E Strike Eagles Downed in Kuwait Friendly Fire Incident During Combat Operations

All six aircrew ejected safely and were recovered in stable condition....

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

Operation Epic Fury Naval Strikes Sink Iranian Ships. Analyzing Civilian Damage Claims Near IRGC Targets

U.S. forces struck missile sites, naval assets, and a Jamaran-class corvette that sank at Chah Bahar. B-2 bombers and destroyers participated...

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

Middle East Escalation: Iranian Strikes Hit Gulf Civilians as U.S. Targets Naval Forces

A statement by U.S. President Donald Trump said that U.S. forces sank an Iranian Jamaran-class corvette in the Gulf of Oman and destroyed nine naval ships in total....

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

Iran Strikes US Fifth Fleet in Bahrain as Retaliation Spreads to Five Gulf Nations

Iran retaliated with Operation True Promise 4, launching missiles and drones at US military bases in Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, Kuwait, and Jordan, as well as Israeli targets....

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

US-Israeli Strikes Hit Iranian Military and Leadership Sites as Tehran Retaliates with Missiles

Israeli officials stated Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed, with his body recovered, while Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi denied the claim....

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

IDF Advisory To Those Near Iranian Military Infrastructure: Evacuate

IDF: "For your safety, we ask you to evacuate those areas immediately and move out of the area until further notice."...

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

US, Israeli "Operation Roar of the Lion" Strikes On Iran

The operation, code-named Roar of the Lion, began by attacking dozens of military targets....

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

Sirens Sound As IDF Identifies Missiles Launched From Iran Toward Israel

​Israel Defense Forces (IDF): "Missiles were sounded in several areas across the country following the identification of missiles launched from Iran toward Israel. At this time, the IAF is operating to intercept and strike threats where necessary to remove the threat."​...

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

Israel and U.S. Conduct Preemptive Strikes on Iran Targeting Nuclear and Military Sites

A nationwide state of emergency was declared in Israel, closing airspace and directing citizens to shelters in anticipation of Iranian retaliation. ...

Critical DEFCON 3
Africa Command

Madagascar: Tropical Cyclone GEZANI Intensifies to Category 4 and Makes Landfall Near Toamasina

The cyclone rapidly intensified to Category 4 before making landfall near Toamasina on February 10, with sustained winds of 205 km/h (127 mph) and gusts up to 220 km/h (137 mph)....

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

U.S. Issues Updated Security Alert Urging Americans to Leave Iran Now Amid Persistent Restrictions

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

US Shoots Down Iranian Drone as Iran Vows Strike on Israel if US Attacks

Earlier in the day, Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps boats harassed a US-flagged tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, approaching at high speed and threatening to board it. ...

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

US Embassy: Iran Security Alert - Americans Should Leave Iran Now

Critical DEFCON 2
Southern Command

U.S. Carries Out Large Scale Airstrikes Against Venezuela, Captures Venezuelan President, Wife

The United States has carried out large scale airstrikes against Venezuela. U.S. President Donald Trump said in a statement that the U.S. has captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, along with his wife, who have both been flown out of the country. ...

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

US Troops Killed and Wounded in ISIS Ambush During Joint Patrol in Syria Amid Retaliation Pledges

The attack resulted in the deaths of two United States Army soldiers and one civilian interpreter, with three additional United States service members sustaining injuries....

Critical DEFCON 2
Central Command

U.S. Lethal Strikes on Narcotics-Trafficking Vessels in Eastern Pacific and Soldier Casualties in Syria Ambush

An attack in Syria resulted in the deaths of two U.S. Army soldiers and a civilian interpreter during counter-Islamic State operations....

High High Priority

High DEFCON 2
Southern Command

SOUTHCOM: U.S. Forces Strike Narco-Trafficking Vessel in Eastern Pacific, Killing Six, as Southern Spear Campaign Expands

The March 8 strike brings the confirmed death toll from Operation Southern Spear to at least 156 to 157 people across approximately 46 vessels since the campaign began in September 2025....

High DEFCON 2
Central Command

Pakistan Launches Airstrikes on Kabul and Other Afghan Targets in Retaliation for Taliban Border Offensive

Pakistan’s Ministry of Information announced that the military launched Operation Ghazab Lil Haq in direct retaliation to the Taliban’s offensive actions along the Durand Line....

High DEFCON 2
Central Command

Afghan Taliban Launches Large-Scale Offensive Operations Against Pakistani Military Positions Along Durand Line

Afghanistan’s eastern military corps media office stated that heavy clashes began late Thursday in response to recent Pakistani airstrikes. ...

High DEFCON 3
Northern Command

U.S. Embassy Maintains Shelter-in-Place Advisory for Jalisco, Nayarit, Baja California, Chiapas, and Michoacán After Security Operations Linked to Cartel Leader Killing

The February 23 Update 5 from the U.S. Mission indicates some flights have resumed in Puerto Vallarta and Guadalajara while most other Mexican airports function normally....

Raised Alerts: Frequently Asked Questions

What does raised command readiness mean for civilians?

Raised readiness on this site reflects OSINT indicators suggesting a command may be operating at elevated alert levels. It does not represent an official government declaration and does not indicate an imminent emergency. Civilians monitoring conditions can track official guidance through Ready.gov, cisa.gov, and the State Department's travel advisory system for affected regions.

How are readiness estimates calculated?

Readiness levels are OSINT estimates derived from official government statements, military public affairs releases, verified open-source reporting, and publicly available satellite imagery. They are not based on classified intelligence and do not represent official government assessments. The methodology behind site readiness estimates is described on the Current Level page.

How often do command readiness levels change?

Command readiness levels are updated when new OSINT indicators warrant a change. Some commands hold elevated readiness for extended periods tied to sustained regional conditions, while others fluctuate with specific events. The Raised Levels page provides trend data and recent changes for each tracked command.

How is the nuclear risk level different from command readiness?

The nuclear risk level is a site-wide OSINT estimate of global nuclear threat posture, assessed independently from individual command readiness levels. It reflects open-source indicators from nuclear-armed states, arms control treaty reporting, and publicly available strategic posture statements. Detailed coverage, including current assessment and historical context, is available on the Nuclear Threat Level page.

Where can I find official emergency guidance?

Primary civilian guidance sources include Ready.gov for general emergency preparedness, cisa.gov for cybersecurity and infrastructure advisories, and the State Department's travel advisory portal for region-specific alerts. The Department of Homeland Security's public advisory system covers domestic threat conditions, and FEMA's Emergency Management Institute provides training resources for community preparedness at training.fema.gov.

Stay Informed on Raised Alerts

Subscribe to receive notifications when commands raise their readiness levels or when breaking alerts are published.

Related Pages

Monitor readiness conditions, financial market impact, cybersecurity threat activity, and emergency preparedness status across all commands and threat categories.