What Are Raised Alerts?

Defcon Level tracks 14 commands: 11 official U.S. Combatant Commands and 3 monitoring commands (biological threats, natural disasters, and financial stability). Each carries an OSINT-estimated DEFCON readiness level from DEFCON 5 (normal peacetime) to DEFCON 1 (maximum readiness). When a command's estimated level is below DEFCON 5, it is considered "raised." This page shows only alerts from commands currently at raised status.

Alerts are grouped by priority. Breaking alerts cover fast-moving situations that may update within hours. Critical alerts address time-sensitive military or geopolitical developments with potential for escalation. High alerts track significant events affecting regional stability. Each alert is sourced from official statements, government public affairs offices, allied communications, and verified open-source intelligence.

The command grid below shows the current readiness level for every tracked command. The nuclear risk level is assessed separately from individual command readiness and appears below the command grid.

For all alerts including standard-priority updates from commands at normal readiness, visit the main Alerts page. For a breakdown of the indicators behind each command's current readiness estimate, see Raised Levels.

Energy Markets and Global Trade Corridors

CENTCOM's area of responsibility covers the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% of global petroleum liquids transit each year, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. USPACOM's area of responsibility includes the South China Sea, through which an estimated one-third of global seaborne trade passes annually, according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Together, these regions encompass several of the world's most significant maritime energy and trade corridors.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration tracks conditions in both regions as part of its global petroleum supply monitoring, publishing regular assessments of chokepoint risk for energy transit. CISA maintains a public advisory feed at cisa.gov covering active cyber threats to critical infrastructure sectors, including energy, transportation, and financial systems. Current commodity prices, defense sector data, and financial impact analysis are available on the Financial Alerts page.

Current Command Readiness Levels

14 Commands Raised

Current OSINT-estimated DEFCON levels for all 14 tracked commands. Commands below DEFCON 5 are considered raised, reflecting open-source indicators that suggest elevated regional readiness. These are estimates, not official government data. Select any command for details and regional alerts.

Geographic Commands

Functional Commands

Current Nuclear Risk Level (OSINT Estimate)

Increased intelligence watch and strengthened security measures. Above normal readiness.

This is an OSINT estimate. Confirmed nuclear readiness status is classified and not publicly released. Assessment derived from open-source intelligence, official government statements, and publicly available data.

Civilian Readiness During Elevated Conditions

The Federal Emergency Management Agency recommends that households maintain emergency supply kits covering a minimum of 72 hours of water, food, medications, and critical documents, as a baseline measure independent of current threat conditions. Ready.gov provides standardized checklists covering shelter-in-place procedures, evacuation planning, and family communication protocols. Supply chain status and preparedness guidance by threat level are available on the Preparedness page.

Emergency preparedness planning covers both physical supplies and financial readiness, including emergency fund sizing and insurance coverage for extended disruption scenarios. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau provides household financial preparedness guidance at consumerfinance.gov and recommends maintaining liquid reserves covering three to six months of essential expenses. Asset protection strategies and portfolio considerations during periods of geopolitical instability are covered on the Financial Readiness page.

Raised Readiness Alerts

The following alerts are from commands currently operating at elevated readiness (below DEFCON 5). Alerts are grouped by priority: Breaking, Critical, High, and Standard.

30 Active Alerts

14 commands currently at elevated readiness.

Alert Additional Raised Alerts

Medium DEFCON 2
Central Command

U.S. Central Command Conducts Five Precision Strikes Against ISIS Targets in Syria from January 27 to February 2

These actions continue Operation Hawkeye Strike, initiated on December 19, in response to the December 13, 2025, ambush in Palmyra that killed two U.S. service members and one American interpreter....

Medium DEFCON 3
Africa Command

U.S. Conducts Airstrike Against ISIS-Somalia in Golis Mountains and Delivers Military Equipment to Somali National Army in Middle Shabelle

The strike, authorized by Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, resulted in the deaths of multiple operatives with no civilian casualties reported....

Medium DEFCON 2
Central Command

Suspicious Activity Involving Armed Vessels Reported in Straits of Hormuz

The vessel ignored the request to stop and proceeded on its route without incident. Authorities launched an investigation into the matter....

Standard DEFCON 3
Northern Command

FBI Investigates Second Suspected Illegal Bio Lab in Las Vegas Linked to Chinese National and Deadly Pathogens

The lab allegedly contained thousands of samples labeled as HIV, malaria, tuberculosis, COVID-19, and Ebola, and received funding from Chinese banks....

Medium DEFCON 2
Central Command

Pezeshkian Directs Nuclear Negotiations Resumption Amid US Deployments and IRGC Live-Fire Exercise Denials

Medium DEFCON 3
European Command

Polish Operational Command: Balloon-Like Objects From Belarus Continue Violate Polish Airspace

Polish Operational Command: "On the night of February 1 to 2, 2026, the military radar systems of the Republic of Poland recorded incursions into Polish airspace by balloon-like objects."...

Medium DEFCON 2
Central Command

Iran Designates EU Armies as Terrorist Entities, Warns of Disrupting Key Shipping Routes in Response to Potential U.S. Strikes

The measure counters the EUโ€™s January 29 classification of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist entity...

Medium DEFCON 2
Central Command

U.S. Central Command Urges IRGC Restraint During Naval Exercise in Strait of Hormuz Amid Iranian Deployments

Iranian state-run media reported that the Iranian Armed Forces deployed hundreds of fast attack craft and missile-launching vessels near USS Abraham Lincoln in the Arabian Sea on January 29....

Medium DEFCON 3
Africa Command

U.S. Forces Conduct Airstrike Targeting al-Shabaab Militants Southwest of Mogadishu Amid Sustained Campaign

U.S. Africa Command characterized the action as essential to mitigate threats to U.S. forces and citizens abroad....

Medium DEFCON 2
Central Command

USS Abraham Lincoln Confirmed Sailing in Indian Ocean Bordering/Crossing CENTCOM AoR

President Donald J. Trump announced on January 13 that aid was forthcoming for protesters....

Medium DEFCON 2
Central Command

U.S. Carrier Strike Group Positioning in Middle East as Iran Claims Drone Surveillance and Issues Hypersonic Threats

This move followed Iranian threats broadcast on state television to target U.S. carriers entering territorial waters....

Medium DEFCON 3
Africa Command

ISWAP Suicide Attack on Nigerian Army Position in Borno State's Timbuktu Triangle

The group claimed responsibility through propaganda channels, reporting 20 soldiers killed or wounded. Nigerian military sources confirmed heavy fighting but did not specify casualties....

Medium DEFCON 2
Southern Command

U.S. Southern Command Executes Lethal Kinetic Strike on Narco-Trafficking Vessel in Eastern Pacific, Resulting in Two Fatalities

Intelligence evaluations established the vesselโ€™s path along recognized narco-trafficking lanes and its participation in such activities....

Medium DEFCON 3
Africa Command

US Carries Out Airstrike In Somalia Against ISIS, Terrorist Attack In Nigeria Results In Dozens Of Casualties

U.S. Africa Command executed an airstrike on January 21 in the Golis Mountains, approximately 66 kilometers southeast of Bossaso, eliminating multiple ISIS-Somalia militants....

Medium DEFCON 3
European Command

French Navy Boards Russian Shadow Fleet Tanker Grinch in Mediterranean for Sanctions Violation

MEDITERRANEAN SEA - On January 22, 2026, the French Navy boarded the oil tanker Grinch, suspected of belonging to Russia's shadow fleet and flying a false Comoros flag to evade international sanctions....

Medium DEFCON 2
Southern Command

U.S. Forces Seize Motor Vessel Sagitta in Caribbean Interdiction Operation

WASHINGTON - On Tuesday morning, U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM) stated that U.S. military forces supporting the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) apprehended the Motor Vessel Sagitta without incident in the Caribbean, framing the action as part of Operation SOUTHERN SPEAR. ...

Standard DEFCON 3
Northern Command

U.S. Deploys NORAD Aircraft to Greenland, Trump Administration Announces Framework for Future Deal on Greenland and Entire Arctic Region

ARCTIC REGION - On January 19, the North American Aerospace Defense Command announced aircraft arrivals at Pituffik Space Base in Greenland to support long-planned activities, coordinated with Denmark. ...

Medium DEFCON 2
Central Command

US Deploys USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group to Middle East as Netanyahu Warns of Unprecedented Force Against Iran

Standard DEFCON 2
Central Command

Syrian Ministry Of The interior Following Reports Of Massacres In al-Hasakah Governorate, Working To Verify

SYRIA - The Syrian Ministry of Interior announced that it is closely monitoring emerging reports alleging massacres in alโ€‘Hasakah Governorate, stressing that the matter is being treated with the highest level of urgency and gravity. ...

Standard DEFCON 2
Central Command

Syrian Government and SDF Reach Ceasefire and Integration Agreement Amid Recent Clashes

Medium DEFCON 3
European Command

Poland: Increased Activity Of Flying Objects Violating Polish Airspace Observed At Border With Belarus

Polish Border Guard: "Due to the increased activity of flying objects observed in the border area with Belarus over the past 24 hours, we would like to inform you that the situation is being fully monitored by the Border Guard"....

Medium DEFCON 2
Central Command

CENTCOM: U.S. Forces Kill Al-Qaeda Affiliate Leader Linked to ISIS Ambush on Americans in Syria

U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) conducted a strike in northwest Syria on Jan. 16, that resulted in the death of a leader affiliated with Al-Qaeda who had direct ties to an ISIS terrorist responsible for an ambush which killed two U.S. service members and an American interpreter on Dec. 13, 2025....

Medium DEFCON 2
Central Command

Trump's Decision Against Military Action in Iran Amid De-escalating Protests and Riots

MIDDLE EAST - President Donald Trump confirmed a decision against military strikes on Iran, citing reports of halted killings amid protests and riots that began in late December. ...

Medium DEFCON 2
Central Command

Trump's Decision Against Military Action in Iran Amid De-escalating Protests and Riots

MIDDLE EAST - President Donald Trump confirmed a decision against military strikes on Iran, citing reports of halted killings amid protests and riots that began in late December. ...

Medium DEFCON 2
Southern Command

US Tactical Team Boards, Seizes Motor Tanker Veronica In The Caribbean

This morning, a [United States Coast Guard] tactical team boarded and seized Motor Tanker Veronica, a sanctioned oil tanker, in the Caribbean Sea...

Low DEFCON 2
Central Command

Trump: The Killing In Iran Is Stopping, No Plan For Executions

WHITE HOUSE - President Trumpโ€™s recent remarks suggest that his demand for the Iranian government to halt the killings has been met, which in turn lowers the likelihood of a U.S. strike on Iran....

Standard DEFCON 2
Southern Command

Trump Cancels Second Wave of Attacks on Venezuela Amid Prisoner Releases and Oil Cooperation

SOUTH AMERICA - On January 9, Trump announced the cancellation of a planned second wave of attacks on Venezuela, citing the release of political prisoners as a sign of seeking peace....

Standard DEFCON 2
Southern Command

U.S. Captures Maduro and Wife in Venezuela Operation: Maduro Pleads Not Guilty

Standard DEFCON 2
Southern Command

Restrictions Around Caribbean Airspace Expire, Airlines Resume Flights

The original restrictions around the Caribbean airspace are expiring at 12:00am ET and flights can resume. Airlines are informed, and will update their schedules quickly. Please continue to work with your airline if your flight was affected by the restrictions....

Standard DEFCON 3
U.S. Pacific Command

Regional Security Developments in Indo-Pacific Region

Ongoing regional security developments continue to shape the strategic environment across the Indo-Pacific region....

Raised Alerts: Frequently Asked Questions

What does raised command readiness mean for civilians?

Raised readiness on this site reflects OSINT indicators suggesting a command may be operating at elevated alert levels. It does not represent an official government declaration and does not indicate an imminent emergency. Civilians monitoring conditions can track official guidance through Ready.gov, cisa.gov, and the State Department's travel advisory system for affected regions.

How are readiness estimates calculated?

Readiness levels are OSINT estimates derived from official government statements, military public affairs releases, verified open-source reporting, and publicly available satellite imagery. They are not based on classified intelligence and do not represent official government assessments. The methodology behind site readiness estimates is described on the Current Level page.

How often do command readiness levels change?

Command readiness levels are updated when new OSINT indicators warrant a change. Some commands hold elevated readiness for extended periods tied to sustained regional conditions, while others fluctuate with specific events. The Raised Levels page provides trend data and recent changes for each tracked command.

How is the nuclear risk level different from command readiness?

The nuclear risk level is a site-wide OSINT estimate of global nuclear threat posture, assessed independently from individual command readiness levels. It reflects open-source indicators from nuclear-armed states, arms control treaty reporting, and publicly available strategic posture statements. Detailed coverage, including current assessment and historical context, is available on the Nuclear Threat Level page.

Where can I find official emergency guidance?

Primary civilian guidance sources include Ready.gov for general emergency preparedness, cisa.gov for cybersecurity and infrastructure advisories, and the State Department's travel advisory portal for region-specific alerts. The Department of Homeland Security's public advisory system covers domestic threat conditions, and FEMA's Emergency Management Institute provides training resources for community preparedness at training.fema.gov.

Stay Informed on Raised Alerts

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Related Pages

Monitor readiness conditions, financial market impact, cybersecurity threat activity, and emergency preparedness status across all commands and threat categories.